I’m recording the Monday Morning Cubs Show with Mahoney right now but just wanted to post this real quick because it’s downright unbelievable.
The Best Offense through 53 games of the 21st century belongs to the 2025 Cubs.
Here’s the write up:
After watching the Cubs come back and smash the Reds, I tried to remember a time where the Cubs offense was so potent. Even the 2016 Cubs offense wasn’t this productive. After 53 games the 2025 Cubs have the best offense in the MLB – having scored the most runs (321) in the league**. Just how good is this offense? The Cubs have scored the 12th-highest number of runs by a team in the history of baseball!** Only a handful of Murderers’ Row-level teams and two late-1990s juggernauts have ever been ahead of the pace Chicago is on right now.(6.06 r/G).
Score 5+ and you win ~63% of the time; at 7+ it’s 85%. Sustain this pace and we score roughly 980 total runs (only 14 teams have ever topped 950) which the models spit out a projected 107 wins.
The reason why its been so fun is that we are watching an offense that we haven’t seen since the steroid era. We are watching history in the making.
My question is two-fold:
- If/When does it cool off?
- Do our expectations change from beginning of the season?
I think it cools off before the All Star break and I’m just saying that as a baseball purist who understands the ebbs and flows of the MLB game. This club is special, no doubt. But are you telling me we’re 107-wins kinda good?
That’s where question #2 comes in.
At what point are we willing to accept the Cubs as this 100+ win team vs. a team improving from failed promises last year? I think at the start of the year, we all would’ve taken 90 wins and a 6th seed in the playoffs. Especially since we haven’t won a playoff game in 8 years and things just traditionally suck around here.
But now that we’re into the season and we’re seeing MVPCA take over and Seiya emerge and Kyle Tucker being the prince that was promised. There’s so many over-performers on the roster that I don’t know how to calibrate my expectations for the club appropriately. It keeps changing and shifting towards higher standards.
So let’s just do this instead.
- I don’t care when it cools off because I’m taking it one game at a time and today we play the Rockies
- I expect to win the division and don’t care how we get there.
- A top 2 seed in the NL would be nice but beggars can’t be choosers
More on this in today’s MMCS.
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